Which executive-development reflex is most likely to look “serious” in the room…while quietly increasing strategic risk?

In Weinberger’s world (internet + AI + opaque predictors), we’re entering a world where high-performing prediction can be opaque: you may get reliable signals without a human-readable “why,” so demanding full explanation before acting becomes paralysis.
It also shows why “being ahead” can turn into “being expensively ahead of nothing”: heavy plans and causal certainty are brittle in interoperable, fast-changing ecosystems.
In that context, the executive advantage shifts from explaining everything to designing decision schemes, lightweight moves, and moral guardrails that can operate under uncertainty.